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Author Topic: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions  (Read 11467 times)

nub_hat

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Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« on: January 17, 2015, 01:56:02 PM »
Let's predict the draft and the season.

In this post you can find predictions exclusively based off stats from last season and the mock drafts.
All current formulas are works in progress. Take it with a grain of salt.

    CAPTAIN POWER RANKING

1. Water
 6-0-1 record last season (7 starts), defending champion
  Ranked 2nd in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 2nd in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 4th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 5th in Defensive Efficiency


2. Ralphis
 3-3-0 record last season (6 starts), runner-up
  Ranked 4th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 1st in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 2nd in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 8th in Defensive Efficiency


3. DemonSphere
 2-3-0 record last season (5 starts)
  Ranked 5th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 3rd in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 8th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 13th in Offensive Efficiency


4. Alt_Stab
 2-0-1 record last season (3 starts)
  Ranked 7th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 6th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 11th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 15th in Defensive Efficiency


5. Zakken
 4-1-1 record last season (6 starts)
  Ranked 15th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 9th in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 15th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 16th in Supporting Efficiency


6. rude
 1-4-0 record last season (5 starts)
  Ranked 14th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 10th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 11th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 13th in Defensive Efficiency


    DRAFT POOL POWER RANKING

1. Dragon
 5-0-1 record last season (5 starts), defending champion
  Ranked 1st in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 1st in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 2nd in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 3rd in Offensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $22
     $11 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: $18 (2 appearances)
       Highest Mock Draft value: $18
       Lowest Mock Draft value: $18


2. Tai
 6-0-0 record last season (6 starts), defending champion
  Ranked 3rd in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 1st in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 4th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 9th in Supporting Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $21
     $13 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: $15 (1 appearance)


3. Yorick
 4-1-1 record last season (5 starts)
  Ranked 6th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 3rd in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 5th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 11th in Defensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $18
     $9 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: $1 (1 appearance)


4. Legion
 4-1-1 record last season (6 starts)
  Ranked 13th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 7th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 7th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 10th in Defensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $17
     $10 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: Undrafted (1 appearance)


5. Starrk
 3-2-0 record last season (5 starts), runner up
  Ranked 8th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 4th in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 14th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 15th in Supporting Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $17
     $9 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: N/A


6. IdeIdoom
 2-0-0 record last season (1 start)
  Ranked 9th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 5th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 8th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 12th In Defensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $15
     Undrafted last season
      Average Mock Draft value: $3 (2 appearances)
       Highest Mock Draft value: $6
       Lowest Mock Draft value: Undrafted


7. TMD
 0-2-0 record last season (1 start)
  Ranked 10th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 6th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 10th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 14th in Defensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $13
     Undrafted last season
      Average Mock Draft value: $4 (1 appearance)


8. nub_hat
 0-5-0 record last season (4 starts)
  Ranked 11th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 6th in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 13th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 16th in Offensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $13
     $4 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: N/A


9. Wazzup
 0-5-0 record last season (5 starts)
  Ranked 12th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 7th in Defensive Efficiency
   Ranked 9th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 14th in Supporting Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $17
     $23 last season
      Average Mock Draft value: N/A


10. Infante
 0-1-0 record last season (1 start)
  Ranked 16th in Overall Efficiency
   Ranked 12th in Supporting Efficiency
   Ranked 12th in Offensive Efficiency
   Ranked 16th in Defensive Efficiency

    PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $9
     Undrafted last season
      Average Mock Draft value: Undrafted (1 appearance)


    ROOKIE PLAYERS

Jwarrier
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $4
  Average Mock Draft value: $9 (1 appearance)


im1hpu0
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $3
  Average Mock Draft value: $5 (1 appearance)


PerroNDoN
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $3
  Average Mock Draft value: $5 (2 appearances)
   Highest Mock Draft value: $9
   Lowest Mock Draft value: Undrafted


Dastan
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $2
  Average Mock Draft value: $1 (1 appearance)


dingdang
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $2
  Average Mock Draft value: $1 (1 appearance)


Shift
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $2
  Average Mock Draft value: $1 (1 appearance)


Alpha
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $1
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Denzoa
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: $1
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


DevastatioN
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Doomguy1999
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Doomkid
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Dranzer
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


HumanBones
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Torvald
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


Xenaero
 PROJECTED DRAFT STOCK: Undrafted
  Average Mock Draft value: N/A


FULL DRAFT PREDICTION
(not official draft order, separate from projected draft stock prediction above)

---------------------
Captain - Remaining Budget - Picks ($V)
---------------------
1. Zakken - $0 - IdeIdoom ($16) - Infante ($13) - Alpha ($1)
2. rude - $0 - Wazzup ($13) - Jwarrier ($11) - PerroNDoN ($6)
3. Alt_Stab - $0 - Tai ($15) - Yorick ($14) - Denzoa ($1)
4. Ralphis - $0 - Starrk ($14) - TMD ($11) - Dastan ($5)
5. DemonSphere - $0 - Dragon ($19) - im1hpu0 ($6) - dingdang ($5)
6. Water - $0 - nub_hat ($14) - Legion ($14) - Shift ($2)

SEASON PREDICTION
(pending schedule and team names)

Water's Team - 4-0-1 (#1 seed, champions)
Ralphis's Team - 4-0-1 (#2 seed, runners up)
Alt_Stab's Team - 3-2-0 (#3 seed)
DemonSphere's Team - 2-3-0 (#4 seed)
Zakken's Team - 1-4-0
rude's Team - 0-5-0

Don't let all these computer predictions hold you back from posting your own.

Water

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2015, 06:42:01 PM »
Quote
6. Water - $0 - nub_hat ($14) - Legion ($14) - Shift ($2)
This will never happen

-Alpha-

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2015, 07:22:49 PM »
Quote
6. Water - $0 - alpha ($14) - alpha ($14) - alpha ($2)
This will happen
Fix'd

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #3 on: January 17, 2015, 07:48:15 PM »
This thread made my day.

nub_hat

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #4 on: January 18, 2015, 07:08:45 AM »
MAP20 and MAP24 are in the schedule this season, we already have stats for these maps so no reason not to share.
All returning players are featured here.

All values range from a minimum of 0 to a maximum of 100.
A value of 0 suggests the player was the worst player per minute in every single stat line across every game played on the map during the season.
A value of 100 suggests the player was the best player per minute in every single stat line across every game played on the map during the season.
Defensive Efficiency is mainly based off the amount of Flag Defenses and Damage a player attains per minute compared to everyone else on the map.
Supporting Efficiency is mainly based off the amount of Damage a player attains per minute and the general Damage/Frag ratio compared to everyone else on the map.
Offensive Efficiency is mainly based off successful flag runs and general offensive pressure with touches compared to everyone else on the map.
Be aware that players can switch positions mid-game which will most likely lower their rating for these categories.
If players are featured on separate lists on the same map it is because their ratings for the different formulas are close to each other.



MAP20 Defensive Leaders
Dragon 75.8 over 39.6 minutes against TMC (638 Damage per minute, 0.8 Flag Defenses per minute)
DemonSphere 52.7 over 39.6 minutes against ADD (662 Damage per minute, 0.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
Tai 51.1 over 39.6 minutes against TMC (518 Damage per minute, 0.6 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP20 Supporting Leaders
Water 72.2 over 39.6 minutes against TMC (559 Damage per minute, 111 Damage/Frag ratio)
DemonSphere 55.8 over 39.6 minutes against ADD (662 Damage per minute, 100 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP20 Offensive Leaders
Water 86.0 over 39.6 minutes against TMC (0.18 Captures per minute, 1.2 Touches per minute)
Tai 48.2 over 39.6 minutes against TMC (0.08 Captures per minute, 0.2 Touches per minute)



MAP24 Defensive Leaders
Water 56.6 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (829 Damage per minute, 1.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
nub_hat 52.9 over 30 minutes against SDC (510 Damage per minute, 1.6 Flag Defenses per minute)
IdeIdoom 46.4 over 20 minutes against SHQ (624 Damage per minute, 1.3 Flag Defenses per minute)
Starrk 44.3 over 26.7 minutes against SupeR (630 Damage per minute, 0.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Wazzup 43.1 over 30 minutes against SDC (741 Damage per minute, 0.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Legion 42.9 over 21.7 minutes against SHQ (553 Damage per minute, 0.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Tai 41.6 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (530 Damage per minute, 1.0 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 38.3 over 30 minutes against SHQ (530 Damage per minute, 1.0 Flag Defenses per minute)
rude 29.7 over 26.7 minutes against SUC (677 Damage per minute, 0.6 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP24 Supporting Leaders
Water 53.8 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (829 Damage per minute, 102 Damage/Frag ratio)
Starrk 48.6 over 26.7 minutes against SupeR (630 Damage per minute, 100 Damage/Frag ratio)
Wazzup 40.2 over 30 minutes against SDC (741 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
IdeIdoom 37.7 over 21.7 minutes against SHQ (642 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
Legion 37.7 over 21.7 minutes against SHQ (553 Damage per minute, 103 Damage/Frag ratio)
rude 36.4 over 26.7 minutes against SUC (677 Damage per minute, 108 Damage/Frag ratio)
Yorick 35.1 over 18.3 minutes against SHQ (432 Damage per minute, 102 Damage/Frag ratio)
DemonSphere 34.7 over 14.8 minutes against ADD (728 Damage per minute, 111 Damage/Frag ratio)
Tai 34.7 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (530 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
Infante 30.8 over 14.8 minutes against ADD (251 Damage per minute, 116 Damage/Frag ratio)
Zakken 29.9 over 30 minutes against SHQ (530 Damage per minute, 96 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP24 Offensive Leaders
Alt_Stab 71.9 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (0.34 Captures per minute, 1.9 Touches per minute)
Ralphis 57.8 over 26.7 minutes against SupeR (0.22 Captures per minute, 2.4 Touches per minute)
Water 57.8 over 14.8 minutes against TMC (0.14 Captures per minute, 0.5 Touches per minute)
Starrk 50.0 over 26.7 minutes against SupeR (0.11 Captures per minute, 0.6 Touches per minute)
Wazzup 46.4 over 30 minutes against SDC (0.13 Captures per minute, 0.9 Touches per minute)
Yorick 43.5 over 18.3 minutes against SHQ (0.16 Captures per minute, 2.0 Touches per minute)
Legion 40.6 over 21.7 minutes against SHQ (0.14 Captures per minute, 1.2 Touches per minute)
Zakken 29.5 over 30 minutes against SHQ (0.07 Captures per minute, 1.1 Touches per minute)
Infante 24.5 over 14.8 minutes against ADD (0.07 Captures per minute, 1.6 Touches per minute)



The rest of the maps will feature here. They could be used for a homefield pick or CTF pugs.

MAP04 Defensive Leaders
Tai 50.3 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (461 Damage per minute, 1.8 Flag Defenses per minute)
DemonSphere 47.4 over 30 minutes against SDC (559 Damage per minute, 1.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 46.8 over 30 minutes against TMC (401 Damage per minute, 2.0 Flag Defenses per minute)
rude 44.1 over 18 minutes against SHQ (486 Damage per minute, 1.4 Flag Defenses per minute)
Water 43.2 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (540 Damage per minute, 1.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
Wazzup 41.4 over 18 minutes against SupeR (521 Damage per minute, 1.7 Flag Defenses per minute)
Starrk 35.0 over 8.8 minutes against ADD (325 Damage per minute, 1.6 Flag Defenses per minute)
Ralphis 32.8 over 25.9 minutes against ADD (473 Damage per minute, 1.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
nub_hat 31.2 over 10 minutes against SupeR (435 Damage per minute, 0.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Yorick 30.5 over 30 minutes against TMC (517 Damage per minute, 0.6 Flag Defenses per minute)
TMD 28.6 over 8 minutes against SupeR (421 Damage per minute, 1.3 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP04 Supporting Leaders
Dragon 48.3 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (473 Damage per minute, 110 Damage/Frag ratio)
Legion 38.0 over 30 minutes against TMC (541 Damage per minute, 97 Damage/Frag ratio)
Water 36.9 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (540 Damage per minute, 90 Damage/Frag ratio)
Yorick 35.7 over 30 minutes against TMC (517 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
nub_hat 29.4 over 10 minutes against SupeR (435 Damage per minute, 106 Damage/Frag ratio)
Ralphis 24.3 over 25.9 minutes against ADD (473 Damage per minute, 87 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP04 Offensive Leaders
Dragon 78.9 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (0.27 Captures per minute, 2.9 Touches per minute)
Legion 48.9 over 30 minutes against TMC (0.17 Captures per minute, 1.6 Touches per minute)
Water 43.1 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (0.12 Captures per minute, 1.0 Touches per minute)
Tai 42.4 over 25.9 minutes against SUC (0.08 Captures per minute, 0.2 Touches per minute)
rude 37.0 over 18 minutes against SHQ (0.11 Captures per minute, 1.0 Touches per minute)
Yorick 33.6 over 30 minutes against TMC (0.07 Captures per minute, 2.6 Touches per minute)
Ralphis 26.2 over 25.9 minutes against ADD (0.08 Captures per minute, 2.2 Touches per minute)



MAP06 Defensive Leaders
Tai 55.5 over 19.9 minutes against SupeR (505 Damage per minute, 1.7 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 52.6 over 21.4 minutes against SUC (401 Damage per minute, 1.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
DemonSphere 49.4 over 16.5 minutes against SHQ (643 Damage per minute, 1.3 Flag Defenses per minute)
nub_hat 43.4 over 16.5 minutes against TMC (440 Damage per minute, 1.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
Ralphis 43.2 over 21.4 minutes against SDC (455 Damage per minute, 1.3 Flag Defenses per minute)
Legion 36.2 over 21.4 minutes against SUC (545 Damage per minute, 0.8 Flag Defenses per minute)
Wazzup 30.9 over 16.5 minutes against TMC (683 Damage per minute, 0.7 Flag Defenses per minute)
Water 29.3 over 10 minutes against SupeR (420 Damage per minute, 0.5 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP06 Supporting Leaders
Dragon 41.3 over 9.9 minutes against SupeR (370 Damage per minute, 111 Damage/Frag ratio)
Alt_Stab 38.8 over 19.9 minutes against SupeR (574 Damage per minute, 118 Damage/Frag ratio)
Water 36.9 over 10 minutes against SupeR (420 Damage per minute, 111 Damage/Frag ratio)
Legion 36.2 over 21.4 minutes against SUC (545 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
Wazzup 33.5 over 16.5 minutes against TMC (683 Damage per minute, 102 Damage/Frag ratio)
rude 33.0 over 19.9 minutes against ADD (416 Damage per minute, 122 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP06 Offensive Leaders
Dragon 77.5 over 9.9 minutes against SupeR (0.51 Captures per minute, 2.0 Touches per minute)
Yorick 57.6 over 21.4 minutes against SUC (0.37 Captures per minute, 1.9 Touches per minute)
Water 37.9 over 10 minutes against SupeR (0.2 Captures per minute, 2.1 Touches per minute)
Wazzup 36.3 over 16.5 minutes against TMC (0.12 Captures per minute, 0.9 Touches per minute)



MAP07 Defensive Leaders
DemonSphere 63.6 over 20 minutes against SupeR (480 Damage per minute, 0.3 Flag Defenses per minute)
Wazzup 45.8 over 30 minutes against SUC (468 Damage per minute, 0.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
Legion 45.5 over 30 minutes against ADD (334 Damage per minute, 0.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
nub_hat 44.6 over 30 minutes against SUC (269 Damage per minute, 0.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
Starrk 39.9 over 30 minutes against SHQ (330 Damage per minute, 0.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
Yorick 39.1 over 30 minutes against ADD (455 Damage per minute, 0.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
Water 36.9 over 30 minutes against ADD (422 Damage per minute, 0.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
Dragon 35.6 over 30 minutes against ADD (330 Damage per minute, 0.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
rude 33.7 over 20 minutes against TMC (391 Damage per minute, 0.2 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 30.8 over 30 minutes against ADD (311 Damage per minute, 0.1 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP07 Supporting Leaders
Ralphis 48.0 over 30 minutes against SHQ (211 Damage per minute, 111 Damage/Frag ratio)
Yorick 41.6 over 30 minutes against ADD (455 Damage per minute, 106 Damage/Frag ratio)
Dragon 40.7 over 30 minutes against SDC (330 Damage per minute, 110 Damage/Frag ratio)
Alt_Stab 40.5 over 30 minutes against SDC (445 Damage per minute, 109 Damage/Frag ratio)
Zakken 21.0 over 30 minutes against ADD (311 Damage per minute, 91 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP07 Offensive Leaders
Ralphis 50.8 over 30 minutes against SHQ (0.07 Captures per minute, 0.5 Touches per minute)



MAP08 Defensive Leaders
Tai 74.1 over 29.8 minutes against SUC (457 Damage per minute, 0.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
Dragon 72.1 over 29.8 minutes against SUC (566 Damage per minute, 0.4 Flag Defenses per minute)
Starrk 37.7 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (287 Damage per minute, 0.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
Ralphis 33.8 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (293 Damage per minute, 0.3 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP08 Supporting Leaders
Dragon 77.1 over 29.8 minutes against SUC (566 Damage per minute, 98 Damage/Frag ratio)
Ralphis 39.3 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (293 Damage per minute, 104 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP08 Offensive Leaders
Water 81.0 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (0.13 Captures per minute, 1.1 Touches per minute)
Dragon 69.7 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (0.10 Captures per minute, 0.3 Touches per minute)
Ralphis 40.4 over 29.8 minutes against ADD (0.07 Captures per minute, 0.8 Touches per minute)



MAP17 Defensive Leaders
Tai 62.4 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (516 Damage per minute, 1.5 Flag Defenses per minute)
rude 52.4 over 30 minutes against SDC (420 Damage per minute, 1.3 Flag Defenses per minute)
Water 50.8 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (344 Damage per minute, 1.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
Wazzup 47.9 over 20.1 minutes against ADD (239 Damage per minute, 1.6 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 41.7 over 30 minutes against SupeR (362 Damage per minute, 1.0 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP17 Supporting Leaders
Dragon 63.7 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (403 Damage per minute, 107 Damage/Frag ratio)
Yorick 47.1 over 10 minutes against SupeR (352 Damage per minute, 101 Damage/Frag ratio)
IdeIdoom 45.3 over 30 minutes against SupeR (330 Damage per minute, 100 Damage/Frag ratio)
Legion 44.3 over 20 minutes against SupeR (415 Damage per minute, 99 Damage/Frag ratio)
Water 42.9 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (344 Damage per minute, 76 Damage/Frag ratio)
Zakken 34.3 over 30 minutes against SupeR (362 Damage per minute, 83 Damage/Frag ratio)
nub_hat 22.4 over 5.3 minutes against ADD (89 Damage per minute, 95 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP17 Offensive Leaders
Dragon 82.9 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (0.40 Captures per minute, 2.4 Touches per minute)
TMD 54.6 over 14.8 minutes against ADD (0.27 Captures per minute, 2.2 Touches per minute)
Water 49.7 over 20.1 minutes against SHQ (0.15 Captures per minute, 0.4 Touches per minute)
IdeIdoom 41.4 over 30 minutes against SupeR (0.13 Captures per minute, 0.8 Touches per minute)
Legion 40.3 over 20 minutes against SupeR (0.15 Captures per minute, 1.8 Touches per minute)
nub_hat 13.9 over 5.3 minutes against ADD (0.00 Captures per minute, 2.3 Touches per minute)



MAP29 Defensive Leaders
Starrk 60.5 over 39.6 minutes against SDC (381 Damage per minute, 2.1 Flag Defenses per minute)
Legion 36.2 over 39.6 minutes against SUC (455 Damage per minute, 0.9 Flag Defenses per minute)
Zakken 27.1 over 39.6 minutes against SUC (345 Damage per minute, 1.5 Flag Defenses per minute)

MAP29 Supporting Leaders
Ralphis 86.1 over 39.6 minutes against SDC (492 Damage per minute, 114 Damage/Frag ratio)
Yorick 61.3 over 39.6 minutes against SUC (503 Damage per minute, 103 Damage/Frag ratio)
Legion 43.1 over 39.6 minutes against SUC (455 Damage per minute, 91 Damage/Frag ratio)

MAP29 Offensive Leaders
Ralphis 83.4 over 39.6 minutes against SDC (0.18 Captures per minute, 2.7 Touches per minute)
« Last Edit: January 18, 2015, 07:58:41 AM by nub_hat »

capo

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2015, 08:02:00 AM »
Crazy shit, so many dates. GJ.  8)

capo

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #6 on: January 18, 2015, 03:44:22 PM »
Bcz nobody bother make some predictions, ill be first. I always loved this in IDL. And i know everyone likes read this. First i must say i dont exactly know all players from FA how they play, what positions etc. But ill try be accurate and just make my own opinion. So here we go. :D
In whole FA is really a lot players with differnt skills. Old vets versus players which play CTF for not so long time but they are good. The important is fact is that the maplist this season is really very very well-known and basically almost everyone in league know this maps maybe besides map22 which dunno why not much ppl play but its awesome map. They are also huge frag based, (20,31,14) which promise really fun season? I guess. :D

I think DS will basically aiming for DevastatioN, he play with him in QL in same clan (eX!), he even know him IRL from Qcon. There is no doubt he will not pick this guy. I know it will cost him a lot money. maybe 28 bucks. (if captains will troll him well:D) With dev in team they will have really great defensive power. In this scenario DS stay on 2 bucks. He will need some attacker. Ill put here Perrondon with dingdang will be his 4th.

Water. I am really not so sure here what team want water exactly build this season. But i think he is going dont spent your money this early like DS. I guess he will be waiting and get torvald like for 8 bucks and in later round he get again dragon for 18 or so. 4th player could be Yorick for 4 bucks.
I really see good this team on paper like torvald can frag really well on odamex and probably could def when water could play mid and dragon o. We'll see. :D

Alt_Stab is going for some veteran i think. He will bid a lot on Tai or HumanBones. I think he get HumanBones for like 20 bucks and Starrk for 8 bucks. 4th player could be im1hpu0. This team be doing well during season on this maps. HumanBones could play attack and Starrk with Alt_Stab defend.

Ralphis will obviously bid on Xenaero and probably get him for like 15 bucks. 3rd will be probably Jwarrier. Again on this maps i am pretty sure Jwarrier will be wall here with Xenaero on middle and Ralphie attacking. Really great team on paper.  4th player will like for 1 buck probably nub_hat.

Rude is fucked already all good players are already taken :D But no there is still good old Tai. I think he will get him for like 15 bucks with denzoa for 7 bucks. 4th  player on team will probably IdeIdoom.

Zakken is probably drafting Legion again and Wazzup. Could be really great mix of smart ctf players and fraggy players. We'll see :D. 4th player could be Shift.


Its really kinda hard for make it accurate and i was just doing how ppl could be drafted in order which will most likely not accurate. But i think players like this will drafted and shit. We'll see. :D





Water

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #7 on: January 19, 2015, 06:56:10 AM »
Quote
Zakken is probably drafting Legion
This would be the most epic thing to happen in CTF history after the insane hatred between those two developed from last season.

nub_hat

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #8 on: January 19, 2015, 08:32:22 AM »
ok here is my draft prediction.
nobody ever nominates the player they want so I will mirror this here

ds nominates legion
this is the first pick of the draft so bidding is probably gonna be very conservative.
zakken still has some good memories from his old team so he could win this bid.
legion to zakken for $7

water nominates xenaero
I think ralphis is the one that convinced xenaero to sign up so he probably wants to play with him.
his stock should be fairly high still so a fair amount of captains will join in on bidding
xenaero to ralphis for $14

alt_stab nominates torvald
I'm sure water wants to play with his brother so he probably wins this bid
torvald to water for $9

ralphis nominates starrk
I think a lot of people want to play with starrk this season so his value might be higher than expected
I think alt_stab will go for it with a final bid around 14 dollars
starrk to alt_stab for $14

rude nominates jwarrier
jwarrier has played well in priv so his stock should be high.
a lot of big names are missing still so I think captains will be very conservative on bidding.
I think zakken would probably win this bid
jwarrier to zakken for $10

zakken nominates ideidoom
zakken probably wants to go for one of the top players with his remaining 13 dollars so he tries to bait other captains with this pick.
I think other captains will be scared to bid with the top players still out there and zakken probably ends up winning the bid
ideidoom to zakken for $6, filling out his team.

rude nominates devastation
demonsphere will win this bid as he has shown in the past that he is not afraid to open his wallet and spend most of his cash on one player.
to add to this devastation has expressed his desire to play on demonspheres team.
devastation to demonsphere for $20

ralphis nominates dragon
I don't think ralphis will be happy at the money situation at this point so he will put dragon out there and hope that water or rude spend their money on him.
water is probably prepared to spend all his money for his third player and rude will be conservative as he still does not have a single player on his team.
theyll have a bidding war for a bit topping out at a water max bid
dragon to water for $20

alt_stab nominates tai
I think alt_stab wants to play with tai so he could go for it right here.
a starting bid of 15 dollars would lock off ralphis and I think rude has other targets in mind.
tai to alt_stab for $15

water nominates alpha
water convinced alpha to sign up in the first place so this could be a match.
alpha to water for $1, filling out his team.

demonsphere nomiates yorick
ds already has devastation on his team so he is looking for somebody to run for him.
ralphis and rude will probably end up outbidding him.
rude would be silly not to be winning bidding wars at this point in the draft so he wins it outbidding a max bid from ralphis
yorick to rude for $16

demonsphere nominates dingdang
ds tries again with his clanmate dingdang.
maybe rude goes for a short poke but I think the other captains have other targets in mind
dingdang to demonsphere for $3

alt_stab nominates perrondon
alt stab goes for perrondon but ends up outbid with a max bid from ds.
perrondon to demonsphere for $7, filling out his team

ralphis nominates humanbones
ralphis can get humanbones unopposed with a $14 starting bid at this point so he would probably go for it
humanbones to ralphis for $14

rude nominates tmd
rude has all the money he could want so it's free picking at this point.
tmd to rude for $3

rude nominates wazzup
rude is gonna go for an all-round player to fill out his team.
wazzup to rude for $3, filling out his team

ralphis nominates dastan
ralphis can pick any player he wants I'm guessing he goes for dastan to fill a backup runner role
dastan to ralphis for $1, filling out his team

alt_stab nominates infante
alt stab has the last pick of the draft so he can get anyone he wants.
he will probably go for fellow zdaemon player infante.
infante to alt_stab for $1, filling out his team

im undrafted but i wanna play on some team just spend 28 on tai or devastation and get me at the end for 1 let me run

so heres how the season plays out

MAP20
ralphis vs water
I dunno it's probably a draw or something 2 points to each

ds vs zakken
very heavy firepower combination for ds (dev/ds/dingdang) should be enough for a 2 round win here, 4 pts

rude vs altstab
I think rude's team here has the edge but it should be a close game, 3 round win for 3+1 points

MAP14
ds vs ralphis
again the frag power combination for ds should destroy people on this map, 2 rounds 4 points

rude vs water
I think a rude/wazzup/yorick combination here would be too strong, another 2 rounder 4pts

zakken vs alt_stab
I think stabs team would have the edge here but it could be close, ill put it as a 3 rounder for 3+1pts

MAP29
ralphis vs rude
could be very interesting to see, I think a 3 rounder for rude's team

ds vs stab
alt stab could have a very good shot here i think his team would take it in a 3 round game

water vs zakken
I think waters team would take a 3 rounder here

MAP31
ralphis vs alt_stab
stabs team should be much too fraggy here, 2 round win

rude vs zakken
again this rude/wazzup/yorick combination should be one of the strongest in the league when it comes to fragging, 2 round win

ds vs water
I think the fragging power of demonspheres team will be too much here, 2 round win

MAP22
zakken vs ralphis
i think ralphis loves this map his team would be very good at it at least, probably a 2 round win

water vs altstab
could be very interesting to see, i think this would end in a draw though

rude vs ds
I think rude's team would take a 2 rounder here, dingdang could have trouble breaking through a tight defensive setup on this map with rude and yorick harassing

so the standings

#1 rude/yorick/tmd/wazzup 18pts
#2 altstab/starrk/tai/infante 13pts
#3 ds/dev/dingdang/perrondon 13pts
#4 ralph/xen/bones/dastan 7pts
#5 water/torvald/dragon/alpha 7pts
#6 zakken/legion/jwarrier/ideidoom 2pts

rude vs ralph on MAP31
rude picks some fraggy map and wins in 3 straight

stab vs ds on MAP29
stab picks 29 since they already beat ds there, they win again in a 5 rounder

rude vs stab MAP24
rude wins it should be tight though

if you dont like it make your own prediction

Jwarrier

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #9 on: January 19, 2015, 10:30:53 AM »
My turn for some predictions.   8)

Draft Order/Captains

1. Alt_Stab / ***- / Support
2. rude / ***- / Offense
3. Ralphis / **** / Offense
4. Zakken / ***- / Defense
5. DemonSphere / **** / Defense
6. Water / **** / Anything


Player Pool
*My understanding of player strength* (* = 1 & - = 1/2)

Alpha (USA) / * / Offense
Dastan (Morocco) / * / Offense
Denzoa (Belgium) / **** / Offense
DevastatioN (Canada) / **** / Support
dingdang (USA) / *** / Support
Doomguy1999 (USA) / ? / ? / Who the hell is this guy?
Doomkid (Australia) / * / ?
Dragon (Sweden) / **** / Offense
Dranzer (USA) / **- / Support
HumanBones (USA) / ***- / Defense
IdeIdoom (Italy) / *** / Support
im1hpu0 (Italy) / *** / Offense
Infante (USA) / ** / Offense
Jwarrier (USA) / **** / Defense
Legion (USA) / **** / Offense
nub_hat (Denmark) / *** / Defense
PerroNDoN (Mexico) / ** / Offense
Shift (USA) / *** / Support
Starrk (USA) / ***- / Defense
Tai (USA) / **** / Defense
TMD (USA) / **- / Offense
Torvald (Canada) / ***- / Support
Wazzup (USA) / **** / Support
Xenaero (USA) / ***- / Support
Yorick (USA) / *** / Support

The Draft
Round 1
1) Alt_Stab[$30] nominates Dragon. (DemonSphere[$14] acquires Dragon for $16)
I have Alt_Stab listed for support and he would wisely begin the draft going for an offense player.  Why not start with the highest rated?  Dragon's stock is high and he is dearly wanted by almost all captains.  I predict Dragon to be one of the highest cost players in this draft.  He will go at $16 to DemonSphere who wisely outbids Alt_Stab.

2) Rude[$13] nominates and acquires Tai for $17.
Back to back championship nominations.  Why not?  Rude is determined to win this and outbids all captains getting Tai for the highest cost of the draft at $17.

3) Ralphis[$17] nominates and acquires Jwarrier for $13.
I believe Ralphis starts with targeting a defensive player.  We played quite a few games together in priv and I feel I might be a target of his.

4) Zakken[$19] nominates and acquires IdeIdoom for $11.
Zakken has a great relationship with Ide and they play fantastic together.  I have Ide listed as 3 star support, when coupled with Zakken his rating could spike upwards.  Ide played well in last season but I feel the other captains let Zakken get him without to much of a fight, but some captains do up his stock to cost Zakken some extra dollars.

5) DemonSphere[$14] nominates DevastatioN. (Water[$15] acquires DevestatioN for $15)
Dev is a player that is well known for being a dominating.  Will rust be a factor?  I don't think the captains care as an all out bid war results in DemonSphere being out bid at $15 cost to Water[$15].

6) Water[$6] nominates and acquires Denzoa for $9.
Water who just stole Dev from DS looks to grab an offense player to complete his circle and secretly aims to acquire his brother for a solid backup.  Denzoa a player most people cannot stand goes quietly to Water at a steal rate of $9.

Round 2
7) Water[$0] nominates and acquires Tor for $6.
Explained above.

8. DemonSphere[$14] nominates Wazzup.  (Alt_Stab[$15] acquires Wazzup for $15)
Looking for a solid wall for middle he aims towards the best support player left available.  Alt_Stab grabs his first player by outbidding DS for $15 pulling the same tactic as Water.  Alt_Stab knows he will have to adjust his position but it was a good draft pick.

9) Zakken[$13] nominates and acquires im1hpu0 for $6.
Zakken needs an offense player and has 2/3 players from last season.  Does he repeat the team?  No.  His respect for Legion has dipped and leads him to look to another source for offense this season.  He targets and acquires im1hpu0 for $6.

10) Ralphis[$9] nominates and acquires Xenaero for $8.
Looking for a support player he puts a bid in to an old friend.  Xenaero goes fairly easy to Ralphis for $8.

11) Rude[$13] nominates and acquires Yorick for $7.
Rude also needing a support player grabs Yorick who played well last season for $7.

12) Alt_Stab[$2] nominates and acquires Legion for $13.
Deciding to target a good offense player Stab aims for Legion and outbids the other captains who at this point are more conservative.  He wins legion for $13.

Round 3
13) Alt_Stab[$2] nominates Starrk.  (Zakken[$0] acquires Starrk for $13)
Left with only $2 to spare Alt_Stab makes a play for Starrk.  The result is chaos. DS needing a good player quickly bids $8 eliminating rude and stab's chances.  Ralphis ups to $9, Zakken goes all in at $13.  After a long pause DS folds and Zakken acquires Starrk in an unexpected bid war.

14) Rude[$5] nominates and acquires Shift for $1.
Rude finishes his team with an uncontested acquisition of Shift for $1.

15) Ralphis[$9] nominates HumanBones.  (DS[$4] acquires HumanBones for $10)
Ralphis nominates HumanBones for his last pick but DS quickly outbids him and acquires Bones for $10.

16) DemonSphere[$3] nominates and acquires dingdang for $1.
To finish off his team DS acquires dingdang for $1.

17) Ralphis[$6] nominates and acquires nub_hat for $3.
An easy bid leaves Ralphis finishing his team with an acquisition of nub_hat for $3.

18) Alt_Stab[$1] nominates and acquires Dranzer for $1.
The last pick of the draft is Dranzer for $1.

The Teams
Alt_Stab(S)(***-)  / Wazzup(S)(****) / Legion(O)(****) / Dranzer(S)(**-)
rude(O)(***-) / Tai(D)(****) / Yorick(S)(***) / Shift(S)(***)
Ralphis(O)(****) / Jwarrier(D)(****) / Xenaero(S)(***-) / nub_hat(D)[(***)
Zakken(D)(***-) / IdeIdoom(S)(***) / im1hpu0(O)(***) / Starrk(D)(***-)
DemonSphere(D)(****) / Dragon(O)(****) / Humanbones(D)(***-) / DingDang(S)(***)
Water(D)(****) / DevestatioN(S)(****) / Denzoa(O)(****) / Torvald(S)(***-)

Free Agency
Alpha (USA) / * / Offense
Dastan (Morocco) / * / Offense
Doomguy1999 (USA) / ? / ? / Who the hell is this guy?
Doomkid (Australia) / * / ?
Infante (USA) / ** / Offense
PerroNDoN (Mexico) / ** / Offense
TMD (USA) / **- / Offense

Predictions
Week 1
Ralphis vs Water (1-1-1)
DS vs Zakken (2-0)
rude vs Stab (2-0)

Week 2
DS vs Ralphis (2-1)
Rude vs Water (1-2)
Zakken vs Stab (1-2)

Week 3
Ralphis vs Rude (1-0-2)
DS vs Stab (2-0)
Water vs Zakken (2-1)

Week 4
Ralphis vs Stab (2-0)
Rude vs Zakken (2-1)
DS vs Water (1-2)

Week 5
Zakken vs Ralphis (0-2)
Water vs Stab (2-0)
Rude vs DS (1-2)

Final Standings

1. Water (4-0-1) 18 PTS
2. DemonSphere (4-1-0) 16 PTS
3. Ralphis (3-1-1) 16 PTS
4. rude (2-3-0) 12 PTS
5. Alt_stab (1-4-0) 4 PTS
6. Zakken (0-5-0) 6 PTS

Playoffs
Water vs rude (3-1) Map17
DS vs Ralphis (2-3-2) Map04

Finals
Water vs Ralphis (2-3-3)

Champions
Ralphis / Jwarrier / Xenaero / nub_hat ( Yes I am biased  ;D )
« Last Edit: January 19, 2015, 01:04:16 PM by Jwarrier »

Torvald

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #10 on: January 19, 2015, 02:35:24 PM »
Jwarrier certainly makes some interesting predictions. Every team looks extremely solid; more specifically - You, Ralphis and Xenaero would be an exciting time to fight head to head with. Without any doubt, I am confident in the pool and the teams that will be formed. There will be no easy match-ups.  ;)

Water

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #11 on: January 19, 2015, 02:49:44 PM »
My predictions

1. Zakken - Legion - IdeIdoom  - Alpha
2. rude - Wazzup  - Jwarrier  - PerroNDoN
3. Alt_Stab - Tai  - Yorick  - Denzoa
4. Ralphis - Doomguy1999 - Nub_hat   - Dastan
5. DemonSphere - Dragon  - im1hpu0  - dingdang
6. Water - Devastation - Jwarrier - Torvald

Zakken

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #12 on: January 19, 2015, 02:55:13 PM »
>tfw everybody wants me to get Legion and IdeIdoom on my team again


Torvald

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #13 on: January 19, 2015, 05:27:40 PM »
My predictions

1. Zakken - Legion - IdeIdoom  - Alpha
2. rude - Wazzup  - Jwarrier  - PerroNDoN
3. Alt_Stab - Tai  - Yorick  - Denzoa
4. Ralphis - Doomguy1999 - Nub_hat   - Dastan
5. DemonSphere - Dragon  - im1hpu0  - dingdang
6. Water - Devastation - Jwarrier - Torvald





My predictions:

1. Water -  Dragon - Tai - Jwarrier
2. rude - Wazzup - Torvald - Dingdang
3. Ralphis - HumanBones - Alpha - Nub_Hat
4. Alt_Stab - Xenaero - Yorick - Starrk
5. DemonSphere - Devastation -  Denzoa - Dranzer
6. Zakken - IdeIdoom- Legion - Dastan

Jwarrier

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Re: Winter 2015 Draft and Season predictions
« Reply #14 on: January 19, 2015, 06:33:01 PM »
I know I'm fat Water but you have me drafted twice in your predictions.  :o