WEEK 4 - MAP13 NATI02 [FEB 27 - MAR 5] Discussion

[Zakken]

Week 4 - MAP13: Grayscale (NATI02)
February 27th - March 5th

The Dream Team [TDT]
DemonSphere, turSKA, Denzoa, D'Sparil
7 pts (2-1-0)

vs

[HFM] High Friction Men
KBlair, Wazzup, Godlike, Souler
2 pts (0-3-0)

Techno Vikings [TKV]
Caution, GhOsTKiLLeR, Xenaero, Avc
12 pts (3-0-0) (#5⇧)

vs

[REG] Regulators
Jwarrier, RoSKing, HTG, Goblin
5 pts (1-2-0)

Super Chargers [SUC]
Ralphis, Dranzer, Hopes, Halloween
9 pts (2-1-0)

vs

[HYP] Hurt You Plenty
DevastatioN, Heks, Starrk, dew
3 pts (1-2-0)

Giant Pea Shooters [GPS]
Alt_Stab, Zakken, Rude, Dastan
6 pts (2-1-0)

vs

[SXP] Sexual Panthers
HumanBones, Dragon, Tony, Evolution
4 pts (1-2-0)

[Zakken]

Playoff picture

[TKV] Techno Vikings:
TKV has a guaranteed #5-and-above seed in the playoffs.

#1 seed requirements:

• A 2-round win against REG if SUC does not win against HYP.
• A 3-round win against REG if HYP wins against SUC.
• A tie against REG if HYP defeats SUC in 2 rounds and TDT does not defeat HFM in 2 rounds.

#2-and-above seed requirements:

• A victory against REG.
• A tie against REG if HYP defeats SUC in 2 rounds or TDT does not defeat HFM in 2 rounds.
• A 3-round loss against REG if TDT does not win against HFM and GPS does not defeat SXP in 2 rounds.

#3-and-above seed requirements:

• A tie against REG if HYP does not defeat SUC in 2 rounds and TDT defeats HFM in 2 rounds.
• A 3-round loss against REG if TDT does not win against HFM or GPS does not defeat SXP in 2 rounds.
• A 2-round loss against REG if HFM wins against TDT and SXP earns a 3-round victory or a tie against GPS.

#4-and-above seed requirements:

• A 3-round loss against REG if TDT wins against HFM and GPS defeats SXP in 2 rounds.
• A 2-round loss against REG if HFM wins against TDT or SXP earns a 3-round victory or a tie against GPS.

[SUC] Super Chargers:

• If SUC does not lose against HYP, they earn a playoff spot.
• If SUC loses against HYP in 3 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if any of the following conditions are met:
  - SXP does not win against GPS;
  - TKV defeats REG in 2 rounds.
• If SUC loses against HYP in 2 rounds, they earn a playoff spot under both of the following conditions:
  - GPS wins against SXP;
  - HFM does not defeat TDT in 2 rounds.
  

[TDT] The Dream Team:

• If TDT wins against HFM, they earn a playoff spot.
• If TDT ties against HFM, they earn a playoff spot if any of the following occur:
  - SXP does not defeat GPS in 2 rounds;
  - HYP does not defeat SUC.
• If TDT loses against HFM in 3 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if HYP and SXP earn less than 5 points collectively.

[GPS] Giant Pea Shooters:

• If GPS defeats SXP in 2 rounds, they earn a playoff spot.
• If GPS defeats SXP in 3 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if either of the following occurs:
  - HFM does not defeat TDT in 2 rounds;
  - SUC wins against HYP.
• If GPS ties against SXP, they may still earn a playoff spot under both of these conditions:
  - HFM does not win against TDT;
  - SUC defeats HYP in 2 rounds.

[REG] Regulators:

• If REG defeats TKV in 2 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if both of the following occur:
  - HYP does not defeat SUC in 2 rounds or SXP does not defeat GPS in 2 rounds;
  - HFM does not win against TDT.
• If REG defeats TKV in 3 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if both of the following occur:
  - HYP and SXP earn less than 6 points collectively;
  - TDT wins against HFM.
• If REG ties against TKV, they may still earn a playoff spot under the following conditions:
  - HYP and SXP earn less than 4 points collectively;
  - TDT defeats HFM in 2 rounds.

[SXP] Sexual Panthers:

• If SXP defeats GPS in 2 rounds, they earn a playoff spot if:
  - SUC defeats HYP in 2 rounds and;
  - TDT wins against HFM.

[Alt_Stab]

The Dream Team [TDT] vs [HFM] High Friction Men

While I agree with some of the sentiment around the water cooler this week that this could be an ideal map for HFM's lineup, I have doubts that this will translate into points for them if they don't get some quality practice in. I know there's still time, and if they practice enough, I think HFM could take a round or possibly even more. Will it happen? At this point I wouldn't bet on it.

TDT 2 - HFM 0

Techno Vikings [TKV] vs [REG] Regulators

TKV is playing at a high level right now, especially with Xenaero in the lineup. If he plays, I think TKV will be too much to handle for REG, though not a blowout by any means. If Xen doesn't play, I think it opens the door for a REG upset. I'm predicting a close game either way. Based on the assumption Xen is in for TVK...

TKV 2 - REG 1

Super Chargers [SUC] vs [HYP] Hurt You Plenty

Another popular opinion this week is that HYP will have a shot at their first win this week against SUC on a map that fits their particular play style. I guess I see it differently. While HYP should be able to put up a fight on D and won't get blown out, I don't think they will pack enough of an offensive punch here against a SUC squad that's playing both sides of the shotgun at a very high level this season.

SUC 2 HYP 0

[Ralphis]

Techno Vikings [TKV] vs [REG] Regulators

As Stab said, TKV is playing at a high level right now. However, REG is no joke. Of all the maps we play this season, this week or next week may be the best crafted in REG's favor. Although I think TKV is the favorite here, my gut says REG pulls it off through item control and the need for a bounce-back game.

REG 2 - TKV 1

Giant Pea Shooters [GPS] vs [SXP] Sexual Panthers

After their blockbuster trade last week, both teams are coming in hot with wins over two very good teams. Set in the European primetime of 1:30pm EST on Saturday, the TradeBowl might be the ultimate test of who "won" the trade. The game is incredibly meaningful as the winner of this one will all but definitely earn a playoff spot. I'm going to skip any meaningful analysis and just peg GPS as the winner since Bones has made it clear that this map frustrates him and he hates it.

GPS 2 - SXP 1

The Dream Team [TDT] vs [HFM] High Friction Men

Haven't seen either team do much practicing so far this week. With that in mind, TDT has a stronger track record in the first three weeks so I have to assume they'll win. Both teams have all the tools necessary to win this map but it's important to follow one of the WDL cardinal rules: PRIOR PREPARATION PREVENTS POOR PERFORMANCE.

TDT 2 - HFM 0

Super Chargers [SUC] vs [HYP] Hurt You Plenty

 

[Xenaero]

I'm like the Doom Undertaker, you only see me come out once a season because my back is broken and young people run the show now